Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk (EMTK.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,392.67 - $17,866.05$6,780.97
Multi-Stage$2,397.01 - $2,623.91$2,508.37
Blended Fair Value$4,644.67
Current Price$484.00
Upside859.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.77%-3.39%8.737.236.140.040.005.237.009.1614.0847.40
YoY Growth--20.79%17.75%17,347.96%0.00%-100.00%-25.25%-23.58%-34.92%-70.30%284.71%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.65%0.78%0.00%0.00%1.05%0.86%1.07%1.60%5.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,545,680.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,687,775.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,109,136.17693,210.11415,926.06
Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.262,857,905.262,857,905.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,109,136.17-693,210.11-415,926.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,748,769.092,164,695.152,441,979.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
LTM Dividend per Share43.9543.9543.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend72.5579.3583.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Fair Value$3,392.67$6,780.97$17,866.05
Upside / Downside600.96%1,301.03%3,591.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,545,680.855,850,225.326,171,494.056,510,405.446,867,928.367,245,084.887,462,437.42
Payout Ratio48.47%56.77%65.08%73.39%81.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,687,775.593,321,341.714,016,387.594,777,754.965,610,631.926,520,576.396,902,754.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Year 1 PV (M)3,082,526.073,112,026.313,141,526.55
Year 2 PV (M)3,459,569.133,526,103.183,593,270.94
Year 3 PV (M)3,819,473.203,930,184.804,043,015.39
Year 4 PV (M)4,162,790.664,324,447.004,490,766.51
Year 5 PV (M)4,490,058.294,709,062.864,936,530.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,568,559.69133,790,772.17140,253,443.21
Equity Value (M)146,582,977.04153,392,596.32160,458,553.50
Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
Fair Value$2,397.01$2,508.37$2,623.91
Upside / Downside395.25%418.26%442.13%

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