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Definitive Analysis

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Kia Corporation (000270.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$957,529.76 - $3,949,959.84$2,465,612.98
Multi-Stage$473,075.69 - $517,508.86$494,885.66
Blended Fair Value$1,480,249.32
Current Price$100,700.00
Upside1,369.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS43.48%22.71%5,567.303,560.333,051.711,017.241,169.82915.51813.791,118.961,118.961,025.17
YoY Growth--56.37%16.67%200.00%-13.04%27.78%12.50%-27.27%0.00%9.15%42.53%
Dividend Yield--6.03%3.28%3.77%1.37%1.41%3.52%2.30%3.61%3.02%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,828,160.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,559,045.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,269,115.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,565,632.00978,520.00587,112.00
Cash Retained (M)5,269,115.005,269,115.005,269,115.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,565,632.00-978,520.00-587,112.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,703,483.004,290,595.004,682,003.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)394.14394.14394.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share9,396.4410,886.0511,879.13
LTM Dividend per Share6,492.786,492.786,492.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share9,396.4410,886.0511,879.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend15,889.2217,378.8318,371.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$957,529.76$2,465,612.98$3,949,959.84
Upside / Downside850.87%2,348.47%3,822.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,828,160.008,336,990.408,878,894.789,456,022.9410,070,664.4310,725,257.6211,047,015.34
Payout Ratio32.69%44.15%55.61%67.08%78.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,559,045.003,680,964.614,937,921.816,342,731.367,909,303.449,652,731.8510,218,489.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,399,887.193,432,113.613,464,340.03
Year 2 PV (M)4,212,597.234,292,835.384,373,830.48
Year 3 PV (M)4,997,869.505,141,340.375,287,530.99
Year 4 PV (M)5,756,383.195,977,757.456,205,456.21
Year 5 PV (M)6,488,802.646,802,214.247,127,620.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)161,601,094.57169,406,487.86177,510,611.93
Equity Value (M)186,456,634.33195,052,748.90203,969,390.47
Shares Outstanding (M)394.14394.14394.14
Fair Value$473,075.69$494,885.66$517,508.86
Upside / Downside369.79%391.45%413.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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