Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zwack Unicum Nyrt. (ZWACK.BD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$81,579.09 - $334,701.30$211,669.77
Multi-Stage$52,950.33 - $57,917.90$55,388.38
Blended Fair Value$133,529.07
Current Price$32,500.00
Upside310.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.49%-5.63%1,400.001,700.001,500.00700.00300.001,300.001,050.001,050.00850.001,200.00
YoY Growth---17.65%13.33%114.29%133.33%-76.92%23.81%0.00%23.53%-29.17%-52.00%
Dividend Yield--4.24%6.80%7.73%3.77%1.80%7.74%5.87%5.98%4.75%6.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,397.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)397.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)679.40424.63254.78
Cash Retained (M)397.00397.00397.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-679.40-424.63-254.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-282.40-27.63142.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.002.002.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-141.20-13.8171.11
LTM Dividend per Share1,500.001,500.001,500.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-141.20-13.8171.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,358.801,486.191,571.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Fair Value$81,579.09$211,669.77$334,701.30
Upside / Downside151.01%551.29%929.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,397.003,584.423,782.193,990.864,211.054,443.384,576.68
Payout Ratio88.31%88.65%88.99%89.33%89.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,000.003,177.613,365.693,564.853,775.743,999.044,233.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Year 1 PV (M)2,962.122,990.463,018.80
Year 2 PV (M)2,924.682,980.913,037.68
Year 3 PV (M)2,887.672,971.353,056.63
Year 4 PV (M)2,851.092,961.783,075.66
Year 5 PV (M)2,814.932,952.193,094.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)91,460.1795,920.06100,552.26
Equity Value (M)105,900.66110,776.76115,835.80
Shares Outstanding (M)2.002.002.00
Fair Value$52,950.33$55,388.38$57,917.90
Upside / Downside62.92%70.43%78.21%

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