Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zions Bancorporation N.A. - 6.9 (ZIONL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BanksSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$657.18 - $1,150.91$1,078.57
Multi-Stage$183.03 - $200.41$191.56
Blended Fair Value$635.07
Current Price$56.58
Upside1,022.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.94%9.94%1.681.921.831.771.761.771.600.880.730.73
YoY Growth---12.06%4.83%3.07%0.77%-0.38%10.17%82.95%19.44%0.00%12.35%
Dividend Yield--3.38%4.46%6.10%2.70%3.20%6.60%3.43%1.66%1.75%3.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)852.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)273.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)579.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)170.40106.5063.90
Cash Retained (M)579.00579.00579.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-170.40-106.50-63.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)408.60472.50515.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.22147.22147.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.783.213.50
LTM Dividend per Share1.851.851.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.783.213.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.635.065.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.24%6.24%6.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$657.18$1,078.57$1,150.91
Upside / Downside1,061.51%1,806.28%1,934.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)852.00907.38966.361,029.171,096.071,167.311,202.33
Payout Ratio32.04%43.63%55.23%66.82%78.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)273.00395.92533.68687.66859.411,050.581,112.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.24%6.24%6.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)369.16372.66376.16
Year 2 PV (M)463.96472.80481.72
Year 3 PV (M)557.42573.42589.72
Year 4 PV (M)649.54674.52700.21
Year 5 PV (M)740.35776.11813.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,165.6125,332.8226,544.70
Equity Value (M)26,946.0428,202.3329,505.75
Shares Outstanding (M)147.22147.22147.22
Fair Value$183.03$191.56$200.41
Upside / Downside223.49%238.57%254.21%

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