Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (XHR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - Hotel & MotelSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.76 - $3.74$3.26
Multi-Stage$5.31 - $5.81$5.55
Blended Fair Value$4.41
Current Price$13.72
Upside-67.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.56%-36.02%0.480.450.120.000.631.261.221.181.150.68
YoY Growth--7.41%281.96%21,529.63%-99.91%-49.82%3.39%2.78%2.88%70.04%-98.38%
Dividend Yield--4.08%2.99%0.89%0.00%3.24%12.22%5.60%6.01%6.75%4.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.277.054.23
Cash Retained (M)3.393.393.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.27-7.05-4.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)-7.89-3.66-0.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)99.9999.9999.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.04-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.04-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.490.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-5.51%-4.51%-3.51%
Fair Value$2.76$3.26$3.74
Upside / Downside-79.90%-76.24%-72.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.3753.8251.4049.0846.8644.7546.09
Payout Ratio93.99%93.20%92.40%91.60%90.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.9850.1647.4944.9542.5540.2742.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-5.51%-4.51%-3.51%
Year 1 PV (M)45.1545.6346.10
Year 2 PV (M)38.4739.2940.12
Year 3 PV (M)32.7833.8334.90
Year 4 PV (M)27.9229.1330.37
Year 5 PV (M)23.7925.0726.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)362.82382.43402.87
Equity Value (M)530.93555.37580.78
Shares Outstanding (M)99.9999.9999.99
Fair Value$5.31$5.55$5.81
Upside / Downside-61.30%-59.52%-57.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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