Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Compass Group PLC (XGR2.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.25 - $105.22$56.94
Multi-Stage$25.23 - $27.51$26.35
Blended Fair Value$41.64
Current Price$25.71
Upside61.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.10%8.05%0.560.460.270.000.320.440.421.200.380.40
YoY Growth--21.80%69.38%0.00%-100.00%-26.86%5.19%-65.26%217.98%-6.68%55.98%
Dividend Yield--2.30%2.28%1.49%0.00%2.74%2.19%2.08%6.02%1.93%2.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,475.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,526.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)948.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)495.16309.48185.69
Cash Retained (M)948.94948.94948.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-495.16-309.48-185.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)453.78639.46763.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,712.251,712.251,712.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.370.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.370.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.161.271.34
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.25$56.94$105.22
Upside / Downside41.00%121.47%309.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,475.822,636.752,808.142,990.673,185.063,392.093,493.86
Payout Ratio61.67%67.34%73.00%78.67%84.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,526.881,775.522,050.032,352.722,686.103,052.883,231.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,615.601,630.911,646.23
Year 2 PV (M)1,697.371,729.701,762.34
Year 3 PV (M)1,772.541,823.431,875.27
Year 4 PV (M)1,841.441,912.261,985.10
Year 5 PV (M)1,904.381,996.372,091.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,364.9436,024.7837,748.15
Equity Value (M)43,196.2945,117.4547,108.96
Shares Outstanding (M)1,712.251,712.251,712.25
Fair Value$25.23$26.35$27.51
Upside / Downside-1.88%2.49%7.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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