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Banco Bradesco S.A. (XBBDC.MC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.94 - $25.68$21.05
Multi-Stage$34.29 - $37.76$35.99
Blended Fair Value$28.52
Current Price$16.24
Upside75.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20,687.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,822.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,864.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,137.472,585.921,551.55
Cash Retained (M)15,864.7815,864.7815,864.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,137.47-2,585.92-1,551.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,727.3113,278.8614,313.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10,598.1010,598.1010,598.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.111.251.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.111.251.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.561.711.81
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$16.94$21.05$25.68
Upside / Downside4.34%29.64%58.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20,687.3520,480.4820,275.6820,072.9219,872.1919,673.4720,263.67
Payout Ratio23.31%36.65%49.99%63.32%76.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,822.587,505.9710,135.2112,711.1115,234.4917,706.1218,743.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6,942.037,012.867,083.70
Year 2 PV (M)8,669.458,847.289,026.92
Year 3 PV (M)10,055.9310,366.9110,684.25
Year 4 PV (M)11,146.6911,608.6712,084.86
Year 5 PV (M)11,981.7712,605.6913,255.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)314,627.64331,011.03348,069.92
Equity Value (M)363,423.49381,452.44400,204.97
Shares Outstanding (M)10,598.1010,598.1010,598.10
Fair Value$34.29$35.99$37.76
Upside / Downside111.15%121.63%132.52%

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