Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Wabash National Corporation (WNC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.68 - $59.65$50.49
Multi-Stage$63.65 - $70.02$66.77
Blended Fair Value$58.63
Current Price$9.87
Upside494.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.65%0.00%0.340.370.370.380.400.410.410.360.000.00
YoY Growth---6.82%-0.99%-2.53%-5.13%-2.66%0.16%16.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.11%1.27%1.52%2.58%2.14%5.74%2.96%1.71%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)260.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)246.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.0732.5419.53
Cash Retained (M)246.34246.34246.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.07-32.54-19.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)194.27213.79226.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.9842.9842.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.524.975.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.524.975.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.855.305.60
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$41.68$50.49$59.65
Upside / Downside322.33%411.54%504.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)260.35257.74255.17252.61250.09247.59255.02
Payout Ratio5.38%22.30%39.23%56.15%73.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.0157.49100.10141.85182.75222.83235.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)52.0252.5553.08
Year 2 PV (M)81.9683.6585.34
Year 3 PV (M)105.11108.36111.67
Year 4 PV (M)122.54127.62132.85
Year 5 PV (M)135.20142.24149.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,238.802,355.372,476.76
Equity Value (M)2,735.632,869.793,009.29
Shares Outstanding (M)42.9842.9842.98
Fair Value$63.65$66.77$70.02
Upside / Downside544.88%576.51%609.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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