Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Walmart Inc. (WMT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Discount StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.42 - $70.53$52.49
Multi-Stage$55.53 - $60.93$58.18
Blended Fair Value$55.33
Current Price$101.18
Upside-45.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.03%0.78%0.830.760.760.770.760.750.760.760.770.78
YoY Growth--8.93%0.43%-0.62%0.59%1.12%-0.88%-0.36%-1.48%-1.24%1.76%
Dividend Yield--0.86%1.29%1.51%1.50%1.63%1.86%2.21%2.58%3.08%3.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,910.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,314.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,596.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,582.002,863.751,718.25
Cash Retained (M)15,596.0015,596.0015,596.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,582.00-2,863.75-1,718.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,014.0012,732.2513,877.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,039.008,039.008,039.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.371.581.73
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.371.581.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.282.492.64
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate1.44%2.44%3.44%
Fair Value$39.42$52.49$70.53
Upside / Downside-61.04%-48.12%-30.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,910.0023,468.6124,040.8424,627.0325,227.5125,842.6326,617.91
Payout Ratio31.92%43.54%55.15%66.77%78.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,314.0010,218.2213,259.7216,443.4619,774.5823,258.3624,621.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate1.44%2.44%3.44%
Year 1 PV (M)9,429.679,522.639,615.59
Year 2 PV (M)11,292.1611,515.9011,741.83
Year 3 PV (M)12,922.8213,308.7913,702.37
Year 4 PV (M)14,341.4414,915.3915,506.38
Year 5 PV (M)15,566.3316,348.8917,162.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)382,819.21402,064.50422,076.12
Equity Value (M)446,371.64467,676.09489,804.91
Shares Outstanding (M)8,039.008,039.008,039.00
Fair Value$55.53$58.18$60.93
Upside / Downside-45.12%-42.50%-39.78%

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