Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$93.72 - $271.72$147.16
Multi-Stage$89.49 - $98.04$93.68
Blended Fair Value$120.42
Current Price$72.84
Upside65.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.86%1.26%1.391.391.331.281.271.271.241.231.231.23
YoY Growth--0.00%4.62%4.00%0.81%0.00%2.48%0.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.80%2.17%1.57%1.73%2.21%3.29%3.04%3.00%2.06%2.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)99.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.9812.497.49
Cash Retained (M)64.0764.0764.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.98-12.49-7.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.0851.5856.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.2226.2226.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.681.972.16
LTM Dividend per Share1.371.371.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.681.972.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.053.333.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate3.61%4.61%5.61%
Fair Value$93.72$147.16$271.72
Upside / Downside28.66%102.04%273.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)99.92104.52109.34114.37119.64125.16128.91
Payout Ratio35.88%46.70%57.53%68.35%79.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35.8548.8162.9078.1894.73112.64119.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate3.61%4.61%5.61%
Year 1 PV (M)45.1945.6346.07
Year 2 PV (M)53.9254.9656.02
Year 3 PV (M)62.0463.8665.70
Year 4 PV (M)69.6072.3375.13
Year 5 PV (M)76.6380.4084.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,039.272,139.602,243.84
Equity Value (M)2,346.652,456.772,571.08
Shares Outstanding (M)26.2226.2226.22
Fair Value$89.49$93.68$98.04
Upside / Downside22.85%28.62%34.60%

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