Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (WLYB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: PublishingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.62 - $27.34$22.12
Multi-Stage$43.87 - $48.22$46.00
Blended Fair Value$34.06
Current Price$38.24
Upside-10.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.15%1.06%1.411.421.431.431.421.421.401.361.321.29
YoY Growth---1.12%-0.43%0.12%0.35%0.37%1.20%3.01%2.79%2.36%2.04%
Dividend Yield--3.56%2.95%4.22%2.74%2.42%4.21%3.02%2.17%2.49%2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)101.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)94.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.3512.727.63
Cash Retained (M)7.237.237.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.35-12.72-7.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)-13.12-5.49-0.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54.1254.1254.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.24-0.10-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.751.751.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.24-0.10-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.501.641.74
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate-2.15%-1.15%-0.15%
Fair Value$17.62$22.12$27.34
Upside / Downside-53.91%-42.15%-28.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)101.73100.5699.4198.2797.1596.0398.92
Payout Ratio92.90%92.32%91.74%91.16%90.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)94.5092.8491.2089.5888.0086.4391.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate-2.15%-1.15%-0.15%
Year 1 PV (M)86.5387.4188.30
Year 2 PV (M)79.2380.8582.50
Year 3 PV (M)72.5474.7877.08
Year 4 PV (M)66.4169.1772.01
Year 5 PV (M)60.8063.9767.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,008.822,113.582,222.67
Equity Value (M)2,374.322,489.772,609.82
Shares Outstanding (M)54.1254.1254.12
Fair Value$43.87$46.00$48.22
Upside / Downside14.72%20.30%26.10%

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