Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

V-ZUG Holding AG (VZUG.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.71 - $86.85$67.88
Multi-Stage$167.57 - $184.97$176.09
Blended Fair Value$121.99
Current Price$64.80
Upside88.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.002.344.687.020.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-50.00%-33.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.30%6.59%9.89%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.073.792.28
Cash Retained (M)24.5724.5724.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.07-3.79-2.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.5020.7822.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.416.416.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.893.243.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.893.243.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.794.144.38
WACC / Discount Rate5.04%5.04%5.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$52.71$67.88$86.85
Upside / Downside-18.66%4.75%34.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.3530.0529.7529.4529.1528.8629.73
Payout Ratio19.03%33.23%47.42%61.61%75.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.789.9814.1118.1422.1025.9827.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.04%5.04%5.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9.419.509.60
Year 2 PV (M)12.5312.7813.04
Year 3 PV (M)15.1815.6516.13
Year 4 PV (M)17.4318.1518.90
Year 5 PV (M)19.3120.3121.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,000.151,052.231,106.46
Equity Value (M)1,074.011,128.641,185.49
Shares Outstanding (M)6.416.416.41
Fair Value$167.57$176.09$184.97
Upside / Downside158.60%171.75%185.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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