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Definitive Analysis

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Viad Corp (VVI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$83.06 - $116.49$99.69
Multi-Stage$125.07 - $137.67$131.24
Blended Fair Value$115.46
Current Price$40.96
Upside181.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.73%-14.73%0.290.000.000.000.150.300.310.310.300.30
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-49.79%-0.74%-0.07%0.60%0.93%-79.07%
Dividend Yield--0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.37%1.43%0.54%0.58%0.67%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)357.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)355.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)71.5844.7426.84
Cash Retained (M)355.94355.94355.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-71.58-44.74-26.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)284.36311.20329.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.6026.6026.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.6911.7012.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.6911.7012.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.7711.7712.45
WACC / Discount Rate9.87%9.87%9.87%
Growth Rate-2.73%-1.73%-0.73%
Fair Value$83.06$99.69$116.49
Upside / Downside102.78%143.37%184.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)357.89351.68345.58339.59333.70327.91337.74
Payout Ratio0.54%18.44%36.33%54.22%72.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.9564.84125.54184.12240.62295.12312.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.87%9.87%9.87%
Growth Rate-2.73%-1.73%-0.73%
Year 1 PV (M)58.4159.0159.61
Year 2 PV (M)101.89103.99106.12
Year 3 PV (M)134.62138.81143.09
Year 4 PV (M)158.50165.12171.94
Year 5 PV (M)175.12184.31193.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,697.642,839.202,986.63
Equity Value (M)3,326.183,490.443,661.28
Shares Outstanding (M)26.6026.6026.60
Fair Value$125.07$131.24$137.67
Upside / Downside205.34%220.41%236.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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