Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Venture Global, Inc. (VG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.04 - $6.93$5.99
Multi-Stage$6.72 - $7.36$7.03
Blended Fair Value$6.51
Current Price$14.19
Upside-54.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---15.24%2,633.33%-14.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.52%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,333.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)562.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,771.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)466.60291.63174.98
Cash Retained (M)1,771.001,771.001,771.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-466.60-291.63-174.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,304.401,479.381,596.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,584.642,584.642,584.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.570.62
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.570.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.790.83
WACC / Discount Rate12.04%12.04%12.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.04$5.99$6.93
Upside / Downside-64.49%-57.76%-51.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,333.002,309.672,286.572,263.712,241.072,218.662,285.22
Payout Ratio24.09%37.27%50.45%63.64%76.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)562.00860.841,153.661,440.531,721.541,996.792,113.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.04%12.04%12.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)760.55768.31776.07
Year 2 PV (M)900.49918.96937.62
Year 3 PV (M)993.411,024.131,055.48
Year 4 PV (M)1,048.881,092.351,137.16
Year 5 PV (M)1,074.841,130.811,189.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,580.9913,236.1113,918.25
Equity Value (M)17,359.1618,170.6719,013.66
Shares Outstanding (M)2,584.642,584.642,584.64
Fair Value$6.72$7.03$7.36
Upside / Downside-52.67%-50.46%-48.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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