Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Universal Corporation (UVV)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TobaccoSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$98.35 - $249.86$148.38
Multi-Stage$102.58 - $112.28$107.34
Blended Fair Value$127.86
Current Price$55.87
Upside128.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.12%5.35%3.173.123.083.042.993.002.782.171.981.88
YoY Growth--1.64%1.31%1.25%1.67%-0.25%7.85%27.76%9.78%5.15%0.11%
Dividend Yield--5.44%6.54%6.16%5.02%5.25%7.05%4.52%3.29%3.06%3.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)111.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)69.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.3313.968.37
Cash Retained (M)41.7141.7141.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.33-13.96-8.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.3827.7533.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.1525.1525.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.771.101.33
LTM Dividend per Share2.782.782.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.771.101.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.553.884.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate3.35%4.35%5.35%
Fair Value$98.35$148.38$249.86
Upside / Downside76.04%165.59%347.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)111.64116.50121.56126.84132.35138.11142.25
Payout Ratio62.64%68.11%73.59%79.06%84.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)69.9479.3589.45100.28111.88124.29131.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate3.35%4.35%5.35%
Year 1 PV (M)73.4074.1174.82
Year 2 PV (M)76.5378.0279.52
Year 3 PV (M)79.3581.6884.05
Year 4 PV (M)81.8985.1088.41
Year 5 PV (M)84.1588.3092.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,185.042,292.822,404.82
Equity Value (M)2,580.362,700.032,824.23
Shares Outstanding (M)25.1525.1525.15
Fair Value$102.58$107.34$112.28
Upside / Downside83.61%92.12%100.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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