Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

U.S. Bancorp (USB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.68 - $147.32$104.11
Multi-Stage$71.17 - $77.75$74.40
Blended Fair Value$89.26
Current Price$48.33
Upside84.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.82%6.00%1.981.911.781.651.641.571.341.241.161.14
YoY Growth--4.11%6.99%7.64%1.06%4.46%16.78%8.51%6.52%1.86%2.95%
Dividend Yield--4.70%4.33%4.94%3.11%2.96%4.55%2.73%2.45%2.25%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,188.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,140.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,048.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,437.60898.50539.10
Cash Retained (M)4,048.004,048.004,048.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,437.60-898.50-539.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,610.403,149.503,508.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,559.001,559.001,559.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.672.022.25
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.672.022.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.694.034.26
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Fair Value$75.68$104.11$147.32
Upside / Downside56.60%115.42%204.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,188.007,547.657,925.298,321.828,738.209,175.419,450.67
Payout Ratio43.68%52.95%62.21%71.47%80.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,140.003,996.264,930.355,947.907,054.948,257.868,741.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3,628.983,663.873,698.76
Year 2 PV (M)4,065.734,144.294,223.60
Year 3 PV (M)4,454.044,583.764,715.97
Year 4 PV (M)4,797.494,984.685,177.30
Year 5 PV (M)5,099.405,349.315,608.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)88,901.9693,258.9397,785.08
Equity Value (M)110,947.59115,984.84121,209.64
Shares Outstanding (M)1,559.001,559.001,559.00
Fair Value$71.17$74.40$77.75
Upside / Downside47.25%53.94%60.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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