Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Unum Group 6.250% JR NT58 (UNMA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61.98 - $104.96$80.72
Multi-Stage$111.19 - $122.22$116.60
Blended Fair Value$98.66
Current Price$24.07
Upside309.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.28%6.40%1.661.551.421.341.301.281.201.101.020.97
YoY Growth--7.00%9.01%6.18%3.23%1.18%6.31%10.00%7.34%4.82%9.28%
Dividend Yield--6.58%6.15%5.65%5.03%4.86%5.61%4.61%4.38%4.08%3.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)913.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)306.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)607.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)182.62114.1468.48
Cash Retained (M)607.00607.00607.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-182.62-114.14-68.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)424.38492.86538.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)178.96178.96178.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.372.753.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.711.711.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.372.753.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.084.464.72
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate0.05%1.05%2.05%
Fair Value$61.98$80.72$104.96
Upside / Downside157.51%235.37%336.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)913.10922.65932.30942.05951.91961.87990.72
Payout Ratio33.52%44.82%56.11%67.41%78.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)306.10413.52523.15635.03749.20865.68916.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate0.05%1.05%2.05%
Year 1 PV (M)383.95387.79391.63
Year 2 PV (M)451.02460.08469.23
Year 3 PV (M)508.33523.72539.43
Year 4 PV (M)556.83579.43602.71
Year 5 PV (M)597.40627.86659.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,399.8018,286.9519,209.92
Equity Value (M)19,897.3320,865.8321,872.47
Shares Outstanding (M)178.96178.96178.96
Fair Value$111.19$116.60$122.22
Upside / Downside361.93%384.41%407.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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