Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Unique Engineering and Construction Public Company Limited (UNIQ.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.89 - $14.11$11.27
Multi-Stage$60.63 - $67.21$63.85
Blended Fair Value$37.56
Current Price$3.20
Upside1,073.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-30.15%-8.02%0.050.000.000.000.270.300.330.330.270.19
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-10.17%-8.78%-0.04%22.11%42.13%64.69%
Dividend Yield--3.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.43%7.83%3.33%2.54%1.57%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)987.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)912.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)197.57123.4874.09
Cash Retained (M)912.21912.21912.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-197.57-123.48-74.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)714.63788.72838.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,081.011,081.011,081.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.660.730.78
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.660.730.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.85
WACC / Discount Rate2.85%2.85%2.85%
Growth Rate-4.97%-3.97%-2.97%
Fair Value$8.89$11.27$14.11
Upside / Downside177.86%252.18%340.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)987.87948.68911.04874.89840.18806.84831.05
Payout Ratio7.66%24.13%40.60%57.06%73.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.66228.89369.84499.25617.80726.16768.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.85%2.85%2.85%
Growth Rate-4.97%-3.97%-2.97%
Year 1 PV (M)220.24222.56224.88
Year 2 PV (M)342.41349.65356.97
Year 3 PV (M)444.75458.93473.42
Year 4 PV (M)529.56552.20575.56
Year 5 PV (M)598.91631.09664.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,401.4166,808.1370,359.75
Equity Value (M)65,537.2769,022.5772,655.22
Shares Outstanding (M)1,081.011,081.011,081.01
Fair Value$60.63$63.85$67.21
Upside / Downside1,794.56%1,895.31%2,000.32%

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