Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Unibel S.A. (UNBL.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$948.76 - $1,663.83$1,253.31
Multi-Stage$1,914.93 - $2,106.80$2,009.00
Blended Fair Value$1,631.16
Current Price$980.00
Upside66.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.84%-6.41%9.0710.508.4011.037.4915.2217.5720.9120.1316.13
YoY Growth---13.64%25.00%-23.81%47.13%-50.78%-13.33%-15.99%3.85%24.85%-8.35%
Dividend Yield--0.93%1.05%0.85%1.11%1.27%2.62%2.39%2.35%2.14%1.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)151.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)51.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)100.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.3818.9911.39
Cash Retained (M)100.10100.10100.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.38-18.99-11.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.7281.1188.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.092.092.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share33.2838.7242.34
LTM Dividend per Share24.7324.7324.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share33.2838.7242.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend58.0163.4567.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.00%6.00%6.00%
Growth Rate-0.11%0.89%1.89%
Fair Value$948.76$1,253.31$1,663.83
Upside / Downside-3.19%27.89%69.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)151.90153.25154.62155.99157.38158.78163.55
Payout Ratio34.10%45.28%56.46%67.64%78.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)51.8069.3987.30105.51124.05142.90151.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.00%6.00%6.00%
Growth Rate-0.11%0.89%1.89%
Year 1 PV (M)64.8265.4766.12
Year 2 PV (M)76.1777.7079.25
Year 3 PV (M)85.9988.6091.26
Year 4 PV (M)94.4398.27102.22
Year 5 PV (M)101.61106.80112.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,588.613,771.873,962.54
Equity Value (M)4,011.634,208.704,413.59
Shares Outstanding (M)2.092.092.09
Fair Value$1,914.93$2,009.00$2,106.80
Upside / Downside95.40%105.00%114.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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