Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Asuransi Tugu Pratama Indonesia Tbk (TUGU.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,061.86 - $41,614.49$38,998.87
Multi-Stage$5,829.62 - $6,379.72$6,099.62
Blended Fair Value$22,549.24
Current Price$1,010.00
Upside2,132.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS42.74%34.96%123.2668.7337.0927.4938.7020.8024.697.5941.330.00
YoY Growth--79.35%85.28%34.96%-28.98%86.08%-15.75%225.21%-81.63%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--12.71%5.87%3.71%7.53%9.99%2.57%3.66%0.84%4.59%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)744,002.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)273,397.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)470,605.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)148,800.4893,000.3055,800.18
Cash Retained (M)470,605.23470,605.23470,605.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-148,800.48-93,000.30-55,800.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)321,804.75377,604.93414,805.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,555.583,555.583,555.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share90.51106.20116.66
LTM Dividend per Share76.8976.8976.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share90.51106.20116.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend167.40183.09193.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15,061.86$38,998.87$41,614.49
Upside / Downside1,391.27%3,761.27%4,020.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)744,002.38792,362.54843,866.10898,717.40957,134.031,019,347.741,049,928.18
Payout Ratio36.75%47.40%58.05%68.70%79.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)273,397.16375,559.64489,848.13617,407.39759,479.75917,412.97971,183.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)348,761.97352,067.77355,373.57
Year 2 PV (M)422,436.93430,483.17438,605.31
Year 3 PV (M)494,450.09508,643.97523,106.93
Year 4 PV (M)564,829.07586,550.80608,893.11
Year 5 PV (M)633,601.11664,204.28695,978.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,263,570.5319,145,707.8220,061,606.58
Equity Value (M)20,727,649.7021,687,657.8122,683,564.20
Shares Outstanding (M)3,555.583,555.583,555.58
Fair Value$5,829.62$6,099.62$6,379.72
Upside / Downside477.19%503.92%531.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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