Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$274.58 - $1,070.83$465.66
Multi-Stage$171.37 - $187.39$179.23
Blended Fair Value$322.45
Current Price$50.55
Upside537.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%26.04%2.961.710.000.000.000.000.230.601.350.44
YoY Growth--72.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-61.06%-55.86%209.45%48.93%
Dividend Yield--7.73%2.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.00%6.70%8.22%1.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)323.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)254.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.7740.4824.29
Cash Retained (M)254.89254.89254.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.77-40.48-24.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)190.12214.41230.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.7334.7334.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.476.176.64
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.476.176.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.468.168.62
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$274.58$465.66$1,070.83
Upside / Downside443.18%821.18%2,018.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)323.84344.89367.30391.18416.60443.68456.99
Payout Ratio21.29%35.03%48.78%62.52%76.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.95120.83179.15244.55317.70399.32422.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)110.45111.50112.54
Year 2 PV (M)149.71152.56155.44
Year 3 PV (M)186.81192.17197.64
Year 4 PV (M)221.85230.38239.15
Year 5 PV (M)254.90267.21279.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,028.935,271.835,524.03
Equity Value (M)5,952.656,225.656,508.80
Shares Outstanding (M)34.7334.7334.73
Fair Value$171.37$179.23$187.39
Upside / Downside239.02%254.57%270.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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