Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Theon International PLC (THEON.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.61 - $11.02$9.26
Multi-Stage$13.06 - $14.33$13.68
Blended Fair Value$11.47
Current Price$30.45
Upside-62.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.210.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)34.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.569.105.46
Cash Retained (M)34.5634.5634.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.56-9.10-5.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.0025.4629.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.5869.5869.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.370.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.550.550.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.370.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.97
WACC / Discount Rate8.78%8.78%8.78%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.61$9.26$11.02
Upside / Downside-75.02%-69.58%-63.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.7972.0771.3570.6369.9369.2371.30
Payout Ratio52.53%60.02%67.52%75.01%82.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.2443.2648.1752.9857.6962.3065.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.78%8.78%8.78%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)39.3639.7640.17
Year 2 PV (M)39.8940.7041.53
Year 3 PV (M)39.9241.1642.42
Year 4 PV (M)39.5641.2042.89
Year 5 PV (M)38.8740.9043.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)711.37748.41786.98
Equity Value (M)908.97952.13996.98
Shares Outstanding (M)69.5869.5869.58
Fair Value$13.06$13.68$14.33
Upside / Downside-57.10%-55.06%-52.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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