Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Truist Financial Corporation (TFC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$81.26 - $191.40$119.61
Multi-Stage$59.76 - $65.16$62.41
Blended Fair Value$91.01
Current Price$45.72
Upside99.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.17%15.32%2.102.102.021.891.840.990.910.760.700.60
YoY Growth--0.00%4.29%6.88%2.52%85.18%8.72%19.80%8.65%17.24%18.47%
Dividend Yield--5.11%5.48%5.91%3.33%3.16%3.22%1.90%1.47%1.57%1.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,074.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,699.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,375.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,014.80634.25380.55
Cash Retained (M)2,375.002,375.002,375.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,014.80-634.25-380.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,360.201,740.751,994.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,317.011,317.011,317.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.031.321.51
LTM Dividend per Share2.052.052.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.031.321.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.083.373.56
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$81.26$119.61$191.40
Upside / Downside77.73%161.62%318.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,074.005,403.815,755.066,129.146,527.536,951.827,160.37
Payout Ratio53.19%60.55%67.92%75.28%82.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,699.003,272.233,908.584,613.845,394.266,256.646,623.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,960.242,988.303,016.36
Year 2 PV (M)3,198.783,259.713,321.21
Year 3 PV (M)3,415.943,514.003,613.91
Year 4 PV (M)3,612.953,751.893,894.81
Year 5 PV (M)3,791.003,974.114,164.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)61,726.6264,708.0467,803.56
Equity Value (M)78,705.5282,196.0485,814.07
Shares Outstanding (M)1,317.011,317.011,317.01
Fair Value$59.76$62.41$65.16
Upside / Downside30.71%36.51%42.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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