Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financials

Company

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Metrics

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Ticker

Industry

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Teradyne, Inc. (TER)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.98 - $35.92$29.64
Multi-Stage$25.19 - $27.53$26.33
Blended Fair Value$27.99
Current Price$134.33
Upside-79.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.51%7.40%0.470.420.430.410.410.380.420.340.300.31
YoY Growth--12.59%-2.63%5.66%-0.76%8.44%-8.94%21.42%14.04%-4.13%35.51%
Dividend Yield--0.57%0.37%0.40%0.34%0.31%0.69%1.00%0.78%0.98%1.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)443.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)366.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)88.6255.3833.23
Cash Retained (M)366.02366.02366.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-88.62-55.38-33.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)277.40310.63332.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)161.34161.34161.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.721.932.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.721.932.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.202.402.54
WACC / Discount Rate11.90%11.90%11.90%
Growth Rate2.51%3.51%4.51%
Fair Value$23.98$29.64$35.92
Upside / Downside-82.15%-77.93%-73.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)443.08458.62474.70491.35508.58526.42542.21
Payout Ratio17.39%31.91%46.44%60.96%75.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.06146.36220.43299.51383.87473.78501.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.90%11.90%11.90%
Growth Rate2.51%3.51%4.51%
Year 1 PV (M)129.54130.80132.06
Year 2 PV (M)172.66176.05179.47
Year 3 PV (M)207.64213.77220.03
Year 4 PV (M)235.53244.85254.45
Year 5 PV (M)257.27270.07283.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,060.973,213.223,371.46
Equity Value (M)4,063.604,248.764,440.84
Shares Outstanding (M)161.34161.34161.34
Fair Value$25.19$26.33$27.53
Upside / Downside-81.25%-80.40%-79.51%

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