Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Templeton Emerging Markets Income Fund (TEI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.57 - $7.40$6.52
Multi-Stage$15.97 - $17.67$16.80
Blended Fair Value$11.66
Current Price$6.00
Upside94.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-8.70%0.460.450.530.000.000.000.530.500.130.93
YoY Growth--0.40%-14.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%5.48%293.54%-86.21%-17.90%
Dividend Yield--8.89%8.89%9.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.53%4.52%1.18%8.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)82.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.5910.376.22
Cash Retained (M)29.3229.3229.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.59-10.37-6.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.7318.9523.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.0459.0459.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.320.39
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.320.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.231.30
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate-10.81%-9.81%-8.81%
Fair Value$5.57$6.52$7.40
Upside / Downside-7.24%8.62%23.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)82.9574.8167.4760.8554.8849.4950.98
Payout Ratio64.65%69.72%74.79%79.86%84.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.6352.1650.4648.5946.6144.5447.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate-10.81%-9.81%-8.81%
Year 1 PV (M)48.1248.6649.20
Year 2 PV (M)42.9443.9144.89
Year 3 PV (M)38.1539.4540.77
Year 4 PV (M)33.7535.2936.88
Year 5 PV (M)29.7631.4633.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)749.96792.96837.91
Equity Value (M)942.68991.731,042.89
Shares Outstanding (M)59.0459.0459.04
Fair Value$15.97$16.80$17.67
Upside / Downside166.13%179.98%194.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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