Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Tasmea Ltd (TEA.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.22 - $22.34$12.66
Multi-Stage$30.71 - $33.93$32.29
Blended Fair Value$22.47
Current Price$3.70
Upside507.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.030.010.020.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--162.52%173.84%-27.96%500.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.32%2.16%0.70%0.97%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.6810.436.26
Cash Retained (M)51.4451.4451.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.68-10.43-6.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)34.7541.0145.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)225.20225.20225.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate1.53%1.53%1.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.22$12.66$22.34
Upside / Downside122.12%242.29%503.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.4282.5981.7680.9480.1379.3381.71
Payout Ratio38.34%48.67%59.00%69.34%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.9840.2048.2456.1263.8471.4075.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.53%1.53%1.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)39.1939.5939.99
Year 2 PV (M)45.8646.8047.75
Year 3 PV (M)52.0153.6255.26
Year 4 PV (M)57.6860.0762.53
Year 5 PV (M)62.8966.1769.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,657.777,004.467,365.44
Equity Value (M)6,915.407,270.707,640.54
Shares Outstanding (M)225.20225.20225.20
Fair Value$30.71$32.29$33.93
Upside / Downside729.93%772.57%816.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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