Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tribune Resources Limited (TBR.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.58 - $10.15$8.24
Multi-Stage$14.85 - $16.34$15.58
Blended Fair Value$11.91
Current Price$4.71
Upside152.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.01%0.00%0.260.260.260.260.260.273.460.200.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-2.36%-2.67%-92.17%1,593.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.47%7.54%8.05%6.69%5.74%3.72%62.83%3.22%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.514.702.82
Cash Retained (M)16.5816.5816.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.51-4.70-2.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.0711.8913.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)52.4752.4752.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.230.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.230.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.570.630.66
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.58$8.24$10.15
Upside / Downside39.77%74.95%115.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37.5737.1936.8236.4536.0935.7336.80
Payout Ratio55.86%62.69%69.52%76.34%83.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.9923.3225.6027.8330.0232.1634.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)21.6721.8922.11
Year 2 PV (M)22.1022.5623.01
Year 3 PV (M)22.3323.0223.73
Year 4 PV (M)22.3823.3124.26
Year 5 PV (M)22.2823.4424.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)668.53703.34739.58
Equity Value (M)779.29817.55857.35
Shares Outstanding (M)52.4752.4752.47
Fair Value$14.85$15.58$16.34
Upside / Downside215.35%230.83%246.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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