Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk (TBIG.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,298.12 - $12,867.00$4,381.28
Multi-Stage$1,397.72 - $1,524.50$1,459.97
Blended Fair Value$2,920.62
Current Price$2,300.00
Upside26.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.69%15.76%55.3658.5736.3130.8126.9626.7133.8729.6026.350.00
YoY Growth---5.48%61.31%17.84%14.29%0.95%-21.15%14.42%12.33%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.78%3.14%1.68%1.07%1.30%2.95%4.29%2.65%2.42%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,453,472.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,241,463.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)212,009.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)290,694.40181,684.00109,010.40
Cash Retained (M)212,009.00212,009.00212,009.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-290,694.40-181,684.00-109,010.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)-78,685.4030,325.00102,998.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22,465.1622,465.1622,465.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share-3.501.354.58
LTM Dividend per Share55.2655.2655.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-3.501.354.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend51.7656.6159.85
WACC / Discount Rate7.88%7.88%7.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,298.12$4,381.28$12,867.00
Upside / Downside-0.08%90.49%459.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,453,472.001,547,947.681,648,564.281,755,720.961,869,842.821,991,382.602,051,124.08
Payout Ratio85.41%86.33%87.25%88.17%89.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,241,463.001,336,357.061,438,342.161,547,939.221,665,706.911,792,244.341,897,289.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.88%7.88%7.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,227,156.841,238,788.661,250,420.48
Year 2 PV (M)1,212,878.611,235,980.541,259,300.41
Year 3 PV (M)1,198,634.001,233,042.471,268,103.22
Year 4 PV (M)1,184,428.461,229,978.241,276,829.34
Year 5 PV (M)1,170,267.191,226,791.531,285,479.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,406,668.0826,633,819.6527,907,937.20
Equity Value (M)31,400,033.1832,798,401.1034,248,069.85
Shares Outstanding (M)22,465.1622,465.1622,465.16
Fair Value$1,397.72$1,459.97$1,524.50
Upside / Downside-39.23%-36.52%-33.72%

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