Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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T.A.C. Consumer Public Company Limited (TACC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.11 - $88.90$58.99
Multi-Stage$12.86 - $14.05$13.45
Blended Fair Value$36.22
Current Price$4.32
Upside738.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.16%0.00%0.390.360.350.320.270.190.130.170.100.15
YoY Growth--6.94%2.84%9.86%18.53%41.43%46.15%-23.53%70.01%-32.04%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.74%7.50%5.91%4.33%3.43%6.25%3.23%3.57%1.19%2.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)269.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)233.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.9433.7220.23
Cash Retained (M)35.9735.9735.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.94-33.72-20.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)-17.972.2615.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)600.00600.00600.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.42
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate4.90%5.90%6.90%
Fair Value$22.11$58.99$88.90
Upside / Downside411.83%1,265.46%1,957.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)269.72285.63302.48320.32339.22359.23370.01
Payout Ratio86.66%87.33%88.00%88.67%89.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)233.75249.44266.18284.02303.03323.31342.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate4.90%5.90%6.90%
Year 1 PV (M)231.78233.99236.20
Year 2 PV (M)229.81234.21238.66
Year 3 PV (M)227.85234.43241.13
Year 4 PV (M)225.89234.63243.62
Year 5 PV (M)223.93234.81246.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,575.496,894.947,226.69
Equity Value (M)7,714.758,067.018,432.40
Shares Outstanding (M)600.00600.00600.00
Fair Value$12.86$13.45$14.05
Upside / Downside197.64%211.23%225.32%

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