Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Synsam AB (publ) (SYNSAM.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.96 - $42.17$33.96
Multi-Stage$65.75 - $72.35$68.99
Blended Fair Value$51.47
Current Price$57.60
Upside-10.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%1.831.741.750.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.14%-0.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.10%3.00%4.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)407.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)147.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.4050.8830.53
Cash Retained (M)147.00147.00147.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.40-50.88-30.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)65.6096.13116.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)145.45145.45145.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.660.80
LTM Dividend per Share1.791.791.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.660.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.14%6.14%6.14%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26.96$33.96$42.17
Upside / Downside-53.20%-41.04%-26.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)407.00402.93398.90394.91390.96387.05398.66
Payout Ratio63.88%69.11%74.33%79.55%84.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.00278.45296.50314.16331.44348.35368.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.14%6.14%6.14%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)259.70262.35265.00
Year 2 PV (M)257.91263.20268.54
Year 3 PV (M)254.87262.75270.80
Year 4 PV (M)250.78261.18271.89
Year 5 PV (M)245.82258.62271.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,294.248,726.149,175.85
Equity Value (M)9,563.3310,034.2410,524.03
Shares Outstanding (M)145.45145.45145.45
Fair Value$65.75$68.99$72.35
Upside / Downside14.15%19.77%25.62%

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