Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Synnex (Thailand) Public Company Limited (SYNEX-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.56 - $62.51$32.73
Multi-Stage$22.12 - $24.24$23.16
Blended Fair Value$27.94
Current Price$10.90
Upside156.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.75%10.19%0.360.620.700.580.460.460.500.400.290.19
YoY Growth---41.95%-11.43%20.69%26.09%0.20%-8.18%25.00%37.50%52.38%40.00%
Dividend Yield--3.31%5.26%4.76%2.17%1.92%11.82%4.21%3.34%3.18%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)694.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)372.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)321.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138.8486.7752.06
Cash Retained (M)321.41321.41321.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-138.84-86.77-52.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)182.57234.64269.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)852.95852.95852.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.280.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.280.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Fair Value$20.56$32.73$62.51
Upside / Downside88.65%200.25%473.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)694.20723.11753.23784.61817.29851.34876.88
Payout Ratio53.70%60.96%68.22%75.48%82.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)372.78440.81513.86592.22676.23766.20811.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Year 1 PV (M)410.19414.17418.15
Year 2 PV (M)444.96453.63462.38
Year 3 PV (M)477.20491.21505.49
Year 4 PV (M)507.04526.99547.52
Year 5 PV (M)534.61561.02588.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,489.9117,304.7518,151.49
Equity Value (M)18,863.9119,751.7820,673.51
Shares Outstanding (M)852.95852.95852.95
Fair Value$22.12$23.16$24.24
Upside / Downside102.90%112.45%122.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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