Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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SW Umwelttechnik Stoiser & Wolschner AG (SWUT.VI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$171.16 - $330.13$234.65
Multi-Stage$241.01 - $264.51$252.54
Blended Fair Value$243.60
Current Price$34.00
Upside616.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS64.65%0.00%3.302.903.201.600.600.270.090.000.000.00
YoY Growth--13.82%-9.38%99.91%166.51%120.20%209.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.32%7.18%7.80%4.19%1.43%0.85%0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.570.980.59
Cash Retained (M)5.175.175.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.57-0.98-0.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.604.194.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.730.730.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.965.776.31
LTM Dividend per Share3.703.703.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.965.776.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.669.4710.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate1.69%2.69%3.69%
Fair Value$171.16$234.65$330.13
Upside / Downside403.40%590.16%870.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.868.078.298.518.748.989.24
Payout Ratio34.18%45.35%56.51%67.67%78.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.693.664.685.766.898.088.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate1.69%2.69%3.69%
Year 1 PV (M)3.393.433.46
Year 2 PV (M)4.024.104.18
Year 3 PV (M)4.594.724.86
Year 4 PV (M)5.095.295.50
Year 5 PV (M)5.535.806.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)152.36160.00167.94
Equity Value (M)174.97183.34192.04
Shares Outstanding (M)0.730.730.73
Fair Value$241.01$252.54$264.51
Upside / Downside608.85%642.76%677.98%

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