Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SuRo Capital Corp. (SSSS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.58 - $26.73$22.56
Multi-Stage$29.18 - $32.09$30.61
Blended Fair Value$26.58
Current Price$9.00
Upside195.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.031.01
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-96.63%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.76%17.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.808.625.17
Cash Retained (M)63.1563.1563.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.80-8.62-5.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)49.3554.5357.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1826.1826.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.892.082.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.892.082.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.112.312.44
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18.58$22.56$26.73
Upside / Downside106.45%150.65%197.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.9868.2967.6166.9366.2665.6067.57
Payout Ratio8.46%24.77%41.07%57.38%73.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.8316.9127.7738.4148.8359.0462.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)15.3415.5015.66
Year 2 PV (M)22.8523.3223.80
Year 3 PV (M)28.6729.5630.47
Year 4 PV (M)33.0734.4435.86
Year 5 PV (M)36.2738.1640.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)627.53660.20694.23
Equity Value (M)763.74801.19840.13
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1826.1826.18
Fair Value$29.18$30.61$32.09
Upside / Downside224.18%240.08%256.60%

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