Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc. (SOI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.98 - $33.19$27.95
Multi-Stage$37.61 - $41.33$39.44
Blended Fair Value$33.69
Current Price$13.43
Upside150.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.39%0.00%0.400.380.380.370.520.530.130.710.000.00
YoY Growth--3.75%1.94%1.80%-29.29%-0.44%308.66%-81.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.97%4.41%4.42%3.28%4.27%10.02%0.77%4.26%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)117.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)87.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.4514.668.79
Cash Retained (M)87.1987.1987.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.45-14.66-8.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.7472.5378.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.6036.6036.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.741.982.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.820.820.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.741.982.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.562.802.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$22.98$27.95$33.19
Upside / Downside71.14%108.14%147.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)117.26116.09114.92113.78112.64111.51114.86
Payout Ratio25.64%38.51%51.39%64.26%77.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.0744.7159.0573.1186.88100.36106.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.93%8.93%8.93%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)40.6341.0441.46
Year 2 PV (M)48.7749.7750.78
Year 3 PV (M)54.8756.5758.30
Year 4 PV (M)59.2561.7164.24
Year 5 PV (M)62.2165.4568.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,111.131,168.991,229.23
Equity Value (M)1,376.861,443.531,512.83
Shares Outstanding (M)36.6036.6036.60
Fair Value$37.61$39.44$41.33
Upside / Downside180.08%193.64%207.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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