Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

SNGN Romgaz S.A. (SNGR.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas IntegratedSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.50 - $49.27$34.11
Multi-Stage$18.95 - $20.65$19.78
Blended Fair Value$26.95
Current Price$46.77
Upside-42.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-4.65%2.20%0.620.690.330.290.760.790.440.490.570.47
YoY Growth---9.99%112.16%11.23%-61.40%-3.86%80.73%-11.12%-14.34%22.93%-6.78%
Dividend Yield--1.33%1.84%0.83%0.90%2.76%2.46%1.16%1.65%2.20%1.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,963.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,342.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,621.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)592.74370.46222.28
Cash Retained (M)1,621.401,621.401,621.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-592.74-370.46-222.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,028.661,250.941,399.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,114.632,114.632,114.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.490.590.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.630.630.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.490.590.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.231.30
WACC / Discount Rate10.33%10.33%10.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.50$34.11$49.27
Upside / Downside-47.62%-27.07%5.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,963.683,156.323,361.483,579.983,812.684,060.504,182.32
Payout Ratio45.29%54.23%63.17%72.12%81.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,342.291,711.762,123.612,581.753,090.493,654.453,868.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.33%10.33%10.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,536.951,551.511,566.08
Year 2 PV (M)1,711.991,744.601,777.52
Year 3 PV (M)1,868.781,922.421,977.09
Year 4 PV (M)2,008.562,085.802,165.25
Year 5 PV (M)2,132.522,235.522,342.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,803.6732,291.5033,836.27
Equity Value (M)40,062.4641,831.3643,664.67
Shares Outstanding (M)2,114.632,114.632,114.63
Fair Value$18.95$19.78$20.65
Upside / Downside-59.49%-57.70%-55.85%

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