Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,604.87 - $38,229.15$35,826.31
Multi-Stage$5,770.41 - $6,304.24$6,032.46
Blended Fair Value$20,929.39
Current Price$1,910.00
Upside995.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.41%13.29%135.00105.0084.9470.0059.0058.0052.0050.0048.7531.25
YoY Growth--28.57%23.61%21.35%18.64%1.72%11.54%4.00%2.56%56.00%-19.35%
Dividend Yield--7.94%5.36%5.50%4.93%4.40%5.02%3.21%3.72%4.49%2.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,106,973.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,007,768.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)99,205.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)221,394.60138,371.6383,022.98
Cash Retained (M)99,205.0099,205.0099,205.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-221,394.60-138,371.63-83,022.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)-122,189.60-39,166.6316,182.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,758.685,758.685,758.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share-21.22-6.802.81
LTM Dividend per Share175.00175.00175.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-21.22-6.802.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend153.78168.20177.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15,604.87$35,826.31$38,229.15
Upside / Downside717.01%1,775.72%1,901.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,106,973.001,178,926.251,255,556.451,337,167.621,424,083.521,516,648.941,562,148.41
Payout Ratio91.04%90.83%90.62%90.42%90.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,007,768.001,070,825.061,137,821.721,209,003.711,284,632.061,364,984.051,444,987.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)995,657.611,005,095.131,014,532.64
Year 2 PV (M)983,687.621,002,424.101,021,337.35
Year 3 PV (M)971,856.43999,754.931,028,182.30
Year 4 PV (M)960,162.47997,087.611,035,067.67
Year 5 PV (M)948,604.20994,422.131,041,993.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,369,936.6529,740,215.2031,162,937.53
Equity Value (M)33,229,904.9834,738,999.1136,304,051.13
Shares Outstanding (M)5,758.685,758.685,758.68
Fair Value$5,770.41$6,032.46$6,304.24
Upside / Downside202.12%215.84%230.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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