Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia Tbk (SMCB.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$833.13 - $1,294.21$1,046.35
Multi-Stage$1,936.20 - $2,131.76$2,032.05
Blended Fair Value$1,539.20
Current Price$775.00
Upside98.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-8.91%29.0727.2223.9321.593.060.000.000.0011.3126.27
YoY Growth--6.82%13.75%10.81%606.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-56.93%-64.46%
Dividend Yield--3.75%2.09%1.81%1.24%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.25%2.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)797,079.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)363,167.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)433,912.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)159,415.8099,634.8859,780.93
Cash Retained (M)433,912.00433,912.00433,912.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-159,415.80-99,634.88-59,780.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)274,496.20334,277.13374,131.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9,019.389,019.389,019.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share30.4337.0641.48
LTM Dividend per Share40.2740.2740.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share30.4337.0641.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend70.7077.3381.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$833.13$1,046.35$1,294.21
Upside / Downside7.50%35.01%67.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)797,079.00789,108.21781,217.13773,404.96765,670.91758,014.20780,754.62
Payout Ratio45.56%54.45%63.34%72.22%81.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)363,167.00429,667.74494,802.15558,590.91621,054.41682,212.78722,198.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)400,058.90404,141.13408,223.36
Year 2 PV (M)428,957.19437,756.08446,644.30
Year 3 PV (M)450,886.69464,830.66479,059.20
Year 4 PV (M)466,760.81486,105.86506,046.10
Year 5 PV (M)477,392.69502,251.64528,135.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,239,244.1316,032,786.9216,859,048.03
Equity Value (M)17,463,300.4018,327,872.3019,227,156.53
Shares Outstanding (M)9,019.389,019.389,019.38
Fair Value$1,936.20$2,032.05$2,131.76
Upside / Downside149.83%162.20%175.07%

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