Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$160.71 - $621.53$272.02
Multi-Stage$100.03 - $109.40$104.63
Blended Fair Value$188.32
Current Price$52.56
Upside258.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.49%15.22%0.920.850.770.640.500.490.420.340.260.24
YoY Growth--8.94%10.36%19.99%28.51%1.54%15.75%24.46%28.38%11.44%6.28%
Dividend Yield--1.75%1.50%1.98%1.25%1.11%2.08%1.16%0.92%0.73%0.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)61.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.347.714.63
Cash Retained (M)51.1051.1051.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.34-7.71-4.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)38.7643.3846.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.2711.2711.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.443.854.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.940.940.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.443.854.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.384.795.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.38%8.38%8.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$160.71$272.02$621.53
Upside / Downside205.76%417.54%1,082.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)61.7065.7169.9874.5379.3884.5487.07
Payout Ratio17.19%31.75%46.31%60.87%75.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.6020.8632.4145.3759.8876.0880.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.38%8.38%8.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)19.0719.2519.43
Year 2 PV (M)27.0827.5928.11
Year 3 PV (M)34.6535.6436.66
Year 4 PV (M)41.8043.4145.06
Year 5 PV (M)48.5450.8953.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)955.841,002.011,049.94
Equity Value (M)1,126.981,178.791,232.53
Shares Outstanding (M)11.2711.2711.27
Fair Value$100.03$104.63$109.40
Upside / Downside90.32%99.07%108.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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