Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Paper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.46 - $45.50$38.29
Multi-Stage$52.90 - $58.06$55.43
Blended Fair Value$46.86
Current Price$50.10
Upside-6.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%1.501.380.240.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--8.77%470.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.24%2.24%0.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)180.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)74.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)106.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.0022.5013.50
Cash Retained (M)106.00106.00106.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.00-22.50-13.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.0083.5092.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)41.3041.3041.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.692.022.24
LTM Dividend per Share1.791.791.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.692.022.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.493.814.03
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$31.46$38.29$45.50
Upside / Downside-37.20%-23.57%-9.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)180.00178.20176.42174.65172.91171.18176.31
Payout Ratio41.11%50.89%60.67%70.44%80.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)74.0090.68107.03123.03138.71154.06163.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)82.4683.3084.14
Year 2 PV (M)88.5090.3192.15
Year 3 PV (M)92.5195.3798.29
Year 4 PV (M)94.8498.77102.82
Year 5 PV (M)95.79100.78105.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,730.491,820.601,914.43
Equity Value (M)2,184.602,289.142,397.81
Shares Outstanding (M)41.3041.3041.30
Fair Value$52.90$55.43$58.06
Upside / Downside5.58%10.63%15.88%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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