Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Metrics

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company

Ticker

Industry

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SFS Group AG (SFSN.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,236.85 - $2,493.75$2,337.01
Multi-Stage$384.64 - $421.02$402.50
Blended Fair Value$1,369.75
Current Price$108.80
Upside1,158.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.32%11.61%2.502.502.111.741.741.931.831.691.451.51
YoY Growth--0.00%18.54%21.48%0.00%-10.00%5.34%8.54%16.52%-3.92%80.86%
Dividend Yield--1.99%2.40%2.41%1.38%1.65%2.07%2.46%1.49%1.74%2.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)487.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)194.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)293.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)97.5060.9436.56
Cash Retained (M)293.10293.10293.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-97.50-60.94-36.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)195.60232.16256.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.8838.8838.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.035.976.60
LTM Dividend per Share5.005.005.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.035.976.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.0310.9711.60
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,236.85$2,337.01$2,493.75
Upside / Downside1,036.81%2,047.99%2,192.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)487.50519.19552.93588.88627.15667.92687.95
Payout Ratio39.88%49.90%59.93%69.95%79.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)194.40259.08331.35411.92501.57601.13636.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)241.31243.60245.89
Year 2 PV (M)287.46292.93298.46
Year 3 PV (M)332.85342.40352.14
Year 4 PV (M)377.48392.00406.93
Year 5 PV (M)421.38441.74462.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,293.4013,935.4714,602.12
Equity Value (M)14,953.8815,648.1416,368.41
Shares Outstanding (M)38.8838.8838.88
Fair Value$384.64$402.50$421.02
Upside / Downside253.53%269.94%286.97%

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