Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Royce Value Trust Inc. (RVT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.95 - $10.12$9.12
Multi-Stage$16.58 - $18.44$17.49
Blended Fair Value$13.30
Current Price$15.05
Upside-11.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-28.58%-17.42%0.170.610.720.860.890.910.970.830.700.82
YoY Growth---72.24%-15.76%-16.32%-3.22%-1.89%-6.09%17.24%17.62%-14.39%-28.37%
Dividend Yield--1.07%4.18%5.45%4.41%5.53%6.16%8.20%5.11%5.24%6.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)412.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)162.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)249.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)82.4551.5330.92
Cash Retained (M)249.82249.82249.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-82.45-51.53-30.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)167.37198.29218.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)116.40116.40116.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.441.701.88
LTM Dividend per Share1.401.401.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.441.701.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.833.103.28
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-19.42%-18.42%-17.42%
Fair Value$7.95$9.12$10.12
Upside / Downside-47.21%-39.43%-32.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)412.27336.34274.39223.86182.63148.99153.46
Payout Ratio39.40%49.52%59.64%69.76%79.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)162.45166.56163.65156.17145.88134.09141.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-19.42%-18.42%-17.42%
Year 1 PV (M)150.50152.36154.23
Year 2 PV (M)133.60136.94140.32
Year 3 PV (M)115.19119.53123.98
Year 4 PV (M)97.23102.14107.25
Year 5 PV (M)80.7585.8891.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,352.621,438.651,529.01
Equity Value (M)1,929.882,035.522,146.07
Shares Outstanding (M)116.40116.40116.40
Fair Value$16.58$17.49$18.44
Upside / Downside10.16%16.19%22.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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