Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. (RS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$190.35 - $340.05$253.30
Multi-Stage$213.20 - $233.36$223.09
Blended Fair Value$238.20
Current Price$280.83
Upside-15.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.54%8.67%4.674.454.063.313.072.832.722.472.252.25
YoY Growth--4.87%9.67%22.66%7.86%8.46%4.13%10.08%9.63%0.25%10.49%
Dividend Yield--1.62%1.34%1.58%1.81%2.01%3.23%2.95%2.88%2.81%3.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)728.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)252.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)475.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)145.6491.0354.62
Cash Retained (M)475.80475.80475.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-145.64-91.03-54.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)330.16384.78421.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.4853.4853.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.177.197.88
LTM Dividend per Share4.724.724.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.177.197.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.8911.9112.59
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Fair Value$190.35$253.30$340.05
Upside / Downside-32.22%-9.80%21.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)728.20755.46783.73813.07843.50875.07901.32
Payout Ratio34.66%45.73%56.80%67.86%78.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)252.40345.46445.13551.78665.79787.56833.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Year 1 PV (M)314.97318.04321.10
Year 2 PV (M)370.03377.27384.58
Year 3 PV (M)418.21430.54443.11
Year 4 PV (M)460.08478.26496.97
Year 5 PV (M)496.20520.82546.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,343.089,806.7010,288.54
Equity Value (M)11,402.5711,931.6312,480.71
Shares Outstanding (M)53.4853.4853.48
Fair Value$213.20$223.09$233.36
Upside / Downside-24.08%-20.56%-16.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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