Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ridley Corporation Limited (RIC.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.36 - $50.30$47.14
Multi-Stage$8.01 - $8.76$8.38
Blended Fair Value$27.76
Current Price$2.94
Upside844.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS21.93%10.71%0.090.080.080.050.000.030.040.040.040.03
YoY Growth--8.76%7.27%47.99%0.00%-100.00%-6.83%-9.22%6.24%14.33%-0.11%
Dividend Yield--3.05%3.92%3.84%2.90%0.00%4.58%2.85%2.85%2.66%2.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.6410.406.24
Cash Retained (M)26.6626.6626.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.64-10.40-6.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.0216.2620.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)328.87328.87328.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.36$47.14$50.30
Upside / Downside796.53%1,503.29%1,610.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.1888.5894.34100.47107.00113.96117.38
Payout Ratio67.95%72.36%76.77%81.18%85.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56.5264.1072.4381.5691.58102.56108.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)59.7360.2960.86
Year 2 PV (M)62.8964.0865.29
Year 3 PV (M)65.9967.8969.82
Year 4 PV (M)69.0571.7074.43
Year 5 PV (M)72.0575.5379.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,304.412,415.712,531.27
Equity Value (M)2,634.102,755.202,880.82
Shares Outstanding (M)328.87328.87328.87
Fair Value$8.01$8.38$8.76
Upside / Downside172.44%184.96%197.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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