Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.88 - $254.52$88.06
Multi-Stage$31.22 - $34.14$32.65
Blended Fair Value$60.36
Current Price$22.44
Upside168.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.16%8.85%0.780.760.680.580.540.510.450.400.370.35
YoY Growth--3.60%11.32%16.65%7.19%7.50%12.28%12.91%8.07%5.70%3.99%
Dividend Yield--3.50%3.78%3.35%2.65%2.36%2.13%1.58%1.33%1.36%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.661.661.00
Cash Retained (M)4.914.914.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.66-1.66-1.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.263.253.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.3110.3110.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.320.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.810.810.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.320.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.031.131.19
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate4.80%5.80%6.80%
Fair Value$45.88$88.06$254.52
Upside / Downside104.44%292.43%1,034.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13.2814.0514.8615.7316.6417.6018.13
Payout Ratio63.02%68.41%73.81%79.21%84.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.379.6110.9712.4614.0815.8416.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate4.80%5.80%6.80%
Year 1 PV (M)8.898.979.06
Year 2 PV (M)9.389.569.74
Year 3 PV (M)9.8410.1210.41
Year 4 PV (M)10.2810.6811.09
Year 5 PV (M)10.7011.2211.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)272.80286.06299.84
Equity Value (M)321.87336.61351.89
Shares Outstanding (M)10.3110.3110.31
Fair Value$31.22$32.65$34.14
Upside / Downside39.14%45.51%52.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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