Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Rémy Cointreau S.A. (RCO.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.28 - $77.66$63.69
Multi-Stage$129.89 - $143.01$136.32
Blended Fair Value$100.01
Current Price$43.14
Upside131.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-20.85%-1.56%0.802.981.411.830.192.580.180.480.251.42
YoY Growth---73.15%111.94%-23.11%876.04%-92.73%1,350.55%-63.16%90.00%-82.14%51.67%
Dividend Yield--1.85%3.21%0.84%0.98%0.12%2.58%0.15%0.42%0.28%2.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)306.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)193.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)112.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.2238.2622.96
Cash Retained (M)112.40112.40112.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.22-38.26-22.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.1874.1489.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.2651.2651.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.001.451.74
LTM Dividend per Share3.783.783.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.001.451.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.785.225.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate-2.80%-1.80%-0.80%
Fair Value$51.28$63.69$77.66
Upside / Downside18.86%47.64%80.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)306.10300.60295.20289.89284.68279.57287.95
Payout Ratio63.28%68.62%73.97%79.31%84.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)193.70206.28218.35229.92241.00251.61266.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate-2.80%-1.80%-0.80%
Year 1 PV (M)192.16194.13196.11
Year 2 PV (M)189.47193.39197.35
Year 3 PV (M)185.84191.64197.55
Year 4 PV (M)181.46189.04196.86
Year 5 PV (M)176.47185.74195.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,733.116,034.156,347.70
Equity Value (M)6,658.526,988.097,330.96
Shares Outstanding (M)51.2651.2651.26
Fair Value$129.89$136.32$143.01
Upside / Downside201.09%216.00%231.50%

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