Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Rent-A-Center, Inc. (RCII)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.50 - $45.76$35.56
Multi-Stage$29.82 - $32.48$31.12
Blended Fair Value$33.34
Current Price$26.78
Upside24.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS43.12%5.39%1.450.001.391.261.110.240.000.230.450.90
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%10.74%13.29%360.49%0.00%-100.00%-49.87%-49.90%4.83%
Dividend Yield--5.41%0.00%5.20%4.99%1.93%1.71%0.00%2.61%5.07%5.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)129.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.9316.219.72
Cash Retained (M)25.9625.9625.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.93-16.21-9.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.039.7516.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.8556.8556.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.170.29
LTM Dividend per Share1.821.821.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.170.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.822.002.11
WACC / Discount Rate10.25%10.25%10.25%
Growth Rate3.39%4.39%5.39%
Fair Value$27.50$35.56$45.76
Upside / Downside2.70%32.77%70.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)129.65135.34141.29147.50153.99160.75165.58
Payout Ratio79.98%81.98%83.99%85.99%88.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.69110.96118.67126.84135.50144.68153.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.25%10.25%10.25%
Growth Rate3.39%4.39%5.39%
Year 1 PV (M)99.68100.64101.61
Year 2 PV (M)95.7697.6299.50
Year 3 PV (M)91.9594.6497.39
Year 4 PV (M)88.2491.7095.27
Year 5 PV (M)84.6388.8193.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,235.191,296.091,359.37
Equity Value (M)1,695.451,769.501,846.27
Shares Outstanding (M)56.8556.8556.85
Fair Value$29.82$31.12$32.48
Upside / Downside11.36%16.22%21.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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