Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Blue Ribbon Income Fund (RBN-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.74 - $7.45$6.64
Multi-Stage$17.95 - $19.99$18.95
Blended Fair Value$12.79
Current Price$8.31
Upside53.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-13.75%-15.48%0.480.540.580.630.781.011.171.331.802.56
YoY Growth---11.07%-7.02%-8.06%-18.97%-22.54%-13.92%-12.21%-25.99%-29.66%-0.87%
Dividend Yield--5.73%7.27%7.91%7.29%10.44%12.15%15.85%13.80%18.36%32.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.232.021.21
Cash Retained (M)9.199.199.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.23-2.02-1.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.967.177.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.418.418.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.710.850.95
LTM Dividend per Share0.830.830.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.710.850.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.541.681.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-15.75%-14.75%-13.75%
Fair Value$5.74$6.64$7.45
Upside / Downside-30.97%-20.06%-10.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.1513.7711.7410.018.537.277.49
Payout Ratio43.10%52.48%61.86%71.24%80.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.967.237.267.136.886.546.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-15.75%-14.75%-13.75%
Year 1 PV (M)6.696.776.85
Year 2 PV (M)6.226.366.51
Year 3 PV (M)5.655.856.06
Year 4 PV (M)5.045.285.53
Year 5 PV (M)4.444.714.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)122.83130.30138.12
Equity Value (M)150.85159.26168.06
Shares Outstanding (M)8.418.418.41
Fair Value$17.95$18.95$19.99
Upside / Downside115.95%127.99%140.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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