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Republic Bancorp, Inc. (RBCAA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$206.38 - $1,011.78$367.43
Multi-Stage$126.74 - $138.60$132.57
Blended Fair Value$250.00
Current Price$72.25
Upside246.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.37%7.41%1.541.431.321.251.171.080.990.890.850.80
YoY Growth--7.60%8.43%5.85%6.44%8.55%9.64%10.43%5.30%5.87%6.09%
Dividend Yield--2.42%2.92%3.11%2.78%2.65%3.27%2.17%2.33%2.46%3.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)127.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.5015.949.56
Cash Retained (M)94.5494.5494.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.50-15.94-9.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.0478.6184.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.7919.7919.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.493.974.29
LTM Dividend per Share1.671.671.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.493.974.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.155.645.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.04%8.04%8.04%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$206.38$367.43$1,011.78
Upside / Downside185.64%408.55%1,300.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)127.51135.68144.37153.62163.47173.94179.16
Payout Ratio25.85%38.68%51.51%64.34%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.9752.4974.3798.85126.15156.55165.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.04%8.04%8.04%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)48.1248.5849.04
Year 2 PV (M)62.5263.7164.92
Year 3 PV (M)76.1978.3880.61
Year 4 PV (M)89.1692.5996.12
Year 5 PV (M)101.44106.35111.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,130.882,233.892,340.85
Equity Value (M)2,508.312,623.502,742.98
Shares Outstanding (M)19.7919.7919.79
Fair Value$126.74$132.57$138.60
Upside / Downside75.43%83.48%91.84%

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