Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Qatar Islamic Bank (Q.P.S.C.) (QIBK.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$67.95 - $396.87$125.76
Multi-Stage$40.66 - $44.42$42.50
Blended Fair Value$84.13
Current Price$22.15
Upside279.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.29%9.32%0.980.630.580.400.520.500.500.480.420.42
YoY Growth--56.00%8.70%43.75%-23.81%5.00%0.00%5.26%11.76%0.00%6.25%
Dividend Yield--4.74%3.41%3.23%1.68%3.19%3.48%3.32%4.81%4.15%4.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,715.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,108.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,606.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)943.07589.42353.65
Cash Retained (M)2,606.372,606.372,606.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-943.07-589.42-353.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,663.302,016.952,252.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,362.932,362.932,362.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.850.95
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.850.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.751.85
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$67.95$125.76$396.87
Upside / Downside206.76%467.75%1,691.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,715.365,021.865,348.285,695.926,066.156,460.456,654.26
Payout Ratio44.73%53.78%62.84%71.89%80.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,108.992,700.793,360.624,094.824,910.265,814.416,155.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,477.742,501.232,524.71
Year 2 PV (M)2,828.452,882.332,936.71
Year 3 PV (M)3,161.753,252.523,345.00
Year 4 PV (M)3,478.263,612.033,749.61
Year 5 PV (M)3,778.583,961.084,150.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)80,342.5084,223.0788,252.16
Equity Value (M)96,067.29100,432.25104,958.77
Shares Outstanding (M)2,362.932,362.932,362.93
Fair Value$40.66$42.50$44.42
Upside / Downside83.55%91.89%100.54%

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