Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$83.87 - $229.81$129.55
Multi-Stage$314.55 - $347.36$330.63
Blended Fair Value$230.09
Current Price$95.00
Upside142.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,916.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,430.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,486.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,183.311,364.57818.74
Cash Retained (M)2,486.472,486.472,486.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,183.31-1,364.57-818.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)303.161,121.901,667.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,905.152,905.152,905.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.390.57
LTM Dividend per Share2.902.902.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.390.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.013.293.48
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$83.87$129.55$229.81
Upside / Downside-11.71%36.37%141.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,916.5410,807.3810,699.3010,592.3110,486.3910,381.5210,692.97
Payout Ratio77.22%79.78%82.33%84.89%87.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,430.078,621.958,809.148,991.729,169.789,343.379,891.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8,407.698,493.488,579.27
Year 2 PV (M)8,376.768,548.598,722.16
Year 3 PV (M)8,337.918,595.768,858.88
Year 4 PV (M)8,291.718,635.368,989.59
Year 5 PV (M)8,238.738,667.749,114.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)872,161.21917,576.67964,864.64
Equity Value (M)913,814.01960,517.611,009,128.98
Shares Outstanding (M)2,905.152,905.152,905.15
Fair Value$314.55$330.63$347.36
Upside / Downside231.10%248.03%265.64%

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